# Outlier — full content index

> Expanded inventory of Outlier education content. Prefer https://www.outlier.bet/llms.txt for a curated overview.

Site: https://www.outlier.bet

## Free NFL bets

- [NFL odds, lines, and free NFL bets](https://www.outlier.bet/nfl-free-bets/): Compare NFL odds, betting lines, point spreads, and player props. Each book includes 3 NFL Insights and 3 of the most Popular Bets being researched on Outlier (6 total), for free.

## Betting calculators

- [All free betting calculators](https://www.outlier.bet/betting-calculators/)

### Parlay Calculator
- [Parlay Calculator](https://www.outlier.bet/betting-calculators/parlay/): Combine 2–15 picks into one bet. See the combined odds, profit, and total payout.
A parlay joins two or more picks, called legs, into one bet. Every leg must win for the parlay to win. This calculator shows the combined odds, profit, and total payout for your stake.

Formula: Convert each leg to decimal odds, then multiply them together. Profit = stake × (combined decimal odds − 1). Total payout = stake × combined decimal odds.
Example: Enter a $100 two-leg parlay with -110 odds for each leg. Combined decimal odds are about 3.6446. If both legs win, profit is $264.46 and total payout is $364.46.
Assumptions, limitations, and usage: https://www.outlier.bet/betting-calculators/parlay/

### PrizePicks EV Calculator
- [PrizePicks EV Calculator](https://www.outlier.bet/betting-calculators/prizepicks-ev/): Estimate average profit or loss from your picks. Compare Power and Flex with your own win chances and payouts.
A PrizePicks EV calculator shows the average profit or loss you could expect over many entries with the same win chances and payouts. It uses each pick’s chance of winning and the payout for each result. It counts wins, losses, and refunds.

Formula: Expected profit = sum of (outcome chance × net profit for that outcome). Expected ROI = expected profit ÷ stake. Multiply by 100 for a percentage. Use chances as decimals: 60% = 0.60.
Example: Two independent picks with a 60% chance each both win 36% of the time. A $100 entry that pays 3x only when both win returns $300, or $200 profit. Otherwise, it loses $100. Expected profit = (0.36 × $200) + (0.64 × −$100) = $8. Expected ROI is 8%.
Assumptions, limitations, and usage: https://www.outlier.bet/betting-calculators/prizepicks-ev/

### Round Robin Calculator
- [Round Robin Calculator](https://www.outlier.bet/betting-calculators/round-robin/): Split your picks into smaller parlays. See the number of bets, total stake, and possible payouts.
A round robin splits a group of picks into several smaller parlays. This tool builds every parlay of the size you choose. Each parlay is a separate bet with its own stake.

Formula: Number of bets = C(n, r) = n! ÷ [r! × (n − r)!]. Total stake = number of bets × stake per combination. For a winning combination, multiply the decimal odds of all legs that did not push. Payout for that combination = stake per combination × combined decimal odds.
Example: Choose five legs and build every four-leg parlay. This gives five bets. At $1 per combination, your total stake is $5. If all legs are +100 and win, each parlay pays $16. Total payout is 5 × $16 = $80. Profit is $80 − $5 = $75.
Assumptions, limitations, and usage: https://www.outlier.bet/betting-calculators/round-robin/

### Expected Value Calculator
- [Expected Value Calculator](https://www.outlier.bet/betting-calculators/expected-value/): Enter odds and your estimated win chance to see the average profit or loss for your stake.
Expected value (EV) is the average profit or loss you could expect from the same bet over many tries. This calculator uses the odds, your stake, and your estimate of the chance of winning.

Formula: Expected profit = stake × (p × d − 1). Expected return on stake = p × d − 1. Multiply by 100 to show it as a percentage. Break-even win chance = 1 ÷ d. Probability edge = your win estimate − break-even win chance.
Example: Bet $100 at +110 with an estimated 50% chance of winning. A win earns $110 profit. A loss costs $100. Expected profit = (0.50 × $110) − (0.50 × $100) = $5. That is 5% of the stake. The break-even win chance is 47.62%.
Assumptions, limitations, and usage: https://www.outlier.bet/betting-calculators/expected-value/

### Kelly Criterion Calculator
- [Kelly Criterion Calculator](https://www.outlier.bet/betting-calculators/kelly-criterion/): Use your odds, win estimate, and betting funds to compare suggested stake sizes.
The Kelly Criterion uses your odds and estimated win chance to suggest how much of your betting funds to stake. Fractional Kelly uses a smaller share of that amount.

Formula: Full Kelly share = (p × d − 1) ÷ (d − 1). Use zero if this result is negative. Stake = bankroll × full Kelly share × multiplier.
Example: Start with a $1,000 bankroll, +100 odds, and a 55% win estimate. Full Kelly = (0.55 × 2 − 1) ÷ (2 − 1) = 0.10, or 10%. Full Kelly gives a $100 stake. Quarter Kelly gives $100 × 0.25 = $25. The $25 stake is 2.5% of the bankroll.
Assumptions, limitations, and usage: https://www.outlier.bet/betting-calculators/kelly-criterion/

### Arbitrage & Hedge Calculator
- [Arbitrage & Hedge Calculator](https://www.outlier.bet/betting-calculators/arbitrage-hedge/): Balance bets on two opposite results. See the cash needed and profit or loss for each.
A hedge is a bet on the opposite result of another bet. This calculator balances the two stakes so either result pays back about the same amount. It shows the possible profit or cost.

Formula: To hedge an existing stake: s₂ = s₁ × d₁ ÷ d₂. To split a total budget: s₁ = B × d₂ ÷ (d₁ + d₂). Then s₂ = B − s₁. Profit if outcome 1 wins = s₁ × d₁ − s₁ − s₂. Profit if outcome 2 wins = s₂ × d₂ − s₁ − s₂.
Example: Suppose both sides offer +110 and your total budget is $100. Split the budget into two $50 stakes. Either winning bet returns $105. Subtract the $100 spent to get $5 profit before fees. At -110 on both sides, the same approach gives a loss instead.
Assumptions, limitations, and usage: https://www.outlier.bet/betting-calculators/arbitrage-hedge/

### Bonus Bet Conversion Calculator
- [Bonus Bet Conversion Calculator](https://www.outlier.bet/betting-calculators/bonus-bet-conversion/): Estimate a bonus bet’s cash value and the real money needed to bet on the opposite result.
This calculator estimates how much cash a bonus bet could return after you bet real money on the opposite result. A standard bonus pays winnings only; it does not return the bonus stake.

Formula: Bonus payout without the stake = B × (d − 1). If the stake is returned as cash, use B × d. Cash hedge H = bonus payout ÷ h. Cash profit if the bonus wins = bonus payout − H. Cash profit if the hedge wins = H × (h − 1). Conversion rate = the lower cash profit ÷ B. Multiply by 100 for a percentage.
Example: Use a $100 bonus at +300 with the bonus stake not returned. The bonus pays $300 if it wins. A cash hedge at -300 needs a $225 stake. If the bonus wins, cash profit is $300 − $225 = $75. If the hedge wins, it earns $75 profit. The conversion rate is $75 ÷ $100 = 75%.
Assumptions, limitations, and usage: https://www.outlier.bet/betting-calculators/bonus-bet-conversion/

### Odds Converter
- [Odds Converter](https://www.outlier.bet/betting-calculators/odds-converter/): Switch between American, decimal, and fractional odds. See the win chance and payout they imply.
An odds converter shows the same betting price in American, decimal, and fractional formats. It also shows the win chance needed to break even and the payout for your stake.

Formula: Positive American odds: d = 1 + A ÷ 100. Negative American odds: d = 1 + 100 ÷ |A|. Fractional odds n/m: d = 1 + n ÷ m. Break-even win chance = 1 ÷ d. Profit = stake × (d − 1). Total payout = stake × d.
Example: +150, 2.50 decimal, and 3/2 fractional are the same odds. A winning $100 bet earns $150 profit. Total payout is $150 + $100 = $250. The break-even win chance is 1 ÷ 2.50 = 40%.
Assumptions, limitations, and usage: https://www.outlier.bet/betting-calculators/odds-converter/

### Implied Probability Calculator
- [Implied Probability Calculator](https://www.outlier.bet/betting-calculators/implied-probability/): Turn betting odds into the win chance needed to break even.
Implied probability is the win chance needed to break even at given odds, before fees or taxes. Compare it with your own win estimate to see whether the odds may offer value.

Formula: Break-even win chance = 1 ÷ decimal odds. For positive American odds: p = 100 ÷ (A + 100). For negative American odds: p = |A| ÷ (|A| + 100). Probability edge = your estimate − break-even win chance.
Example: At -110, the break-even chance is 110 ÷ 210 = 52.38%. A 55% win estimate is 2.62 percentage points higher. A winning $100 bet earns $90.91 profit and returns $190.91 in total.
Assumptions, limitations, and usage: https://www.outlier.bet/betting-calculators/implied-probability/

### No-Vig Fair Odds Calculator
- [No-Vig Fair Odds Calculator](https://www.outlier.bet/betting-calculators/no-vig-fair-odds/): Remove the sportsbook margin from two or three outcomes to estimate fair odds.
No-vig odds estimate a market’s prices after removing the sportsbook margin. Enter every outcome, and this tool adjusts their implied win chances so they add up to 100%.

Formula: For each outcome, raw win chance q = 1 ÷ d. Add all raw win chances to get S. Fair win chance p = q ÷ S. Fair decimal odds = 1 ÷ p. Overround = S − 1. Multiply by 100 for a percentage.
Example: At -110 on each side, both raw win chances are 52.38%. Together they add up to 104.76%. Divide each chance by that total to get 50% per side. A 50% chance gives fair American odds of +100.
Assumptions, limitations, and usage: https://www.outlier.bet/betting-calculators/no-vig-fair-odds/

### Hold Calculator
- [Hold Calculator](https://www.outlier.bet/betting-calculators/hold/): Check the margin built into the odds for a market with two or three outcomes.
The Hold Calculator measures the margin built into a set of betting odds. It shows both overround and theoretical hold. Actual sportsbook hold also depends on the stakes placed and which bets win.

Formula: Convert each price to a win chance: 1 ÷ decimal odds. Add those win chances to get S. Overround = S − 1. Theoretical hold = (S − 1) ÷ S. Multiply each result by 100 for a percentage.
Example: +120 implies a 45.45% win chance. -125 implies 55.56%. Their total is about 101.01%. Overround is about 1.01%. Theoretical hold is about 1.00%.
Assumptions, limitations, and usage: https://www.outlier.bet/betting-calculators/hold/

### Vig Calculator
- [Vig Calculator](https://www.outlier.bet/betting-calculators/vig/): Compare offered and fair odds. Estimate the average cost of the sportsbook margin for your stake.
Vig, also called juice, is the sportsbook margin built into betting odds. This calculator removes that margin to estimate fair odds, then shows its average dollar cost for your stake.

Formula: Raw win chance q = 1 ÷ d. Add all raw chances to get S. Fair win chance p = q ÷ S. An outcome’s margin share = q − p. Estimated vig cost = stake × (1 − p × d).
Example: At -110 on both sides, the fair win chance is 50% per side. A winning $100 bet earns about $90.91 profit. A loss costs $100. Expected profit = (0.50 × $90.91) − (0.50 × $100) ≈ −$4.55. The estimated vig cost is $4.55. The market overround is 4.76%.
Assumptions, limitations, and usage: https://www.outlier.bet/betting-calculators/vig/

### Prediction Markets Converter
- [Prediction Markets Converter](https://www.outlier.bet/betting-calculators/prediction-markets/): Convert contract prices in cents to betting odds. Include your fees to estimate cost and profit.
A prediction-market contract can pay $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if it does not. This tool converts the purchase price into betting odds and estimates costs and profit using the fees you enter.

Formula: Win chance implied by the price = c ÷ 100. Decimal odds before fees = 100 ÷ c. Total cost = number of contracts × (c + fee in cents) ÷ 100. Profit if the contracts win = number of contracts × $1 − total cost. Break-even win chance after fees = (c + fee in cents) ÷ 100.
Example: A 65-cent contract implies a 65% win chance before fees. That is about 1.5385 decimal, -186 American, or 7/13 fractional odds. Buying 100 contracts costs $65 before fees. If they settle at $1 each, you get $100 back and make $35 profit.
Assumptions, limitations, and usage: https://www.outlier.bet/betting-calculators/prediction-markets/

### Half Point Calculator
- [Half Point Calculator](https://www.outlier.bet/betting-calculators/half-point/): Compare nearby spreads or totals. Enter your estimates of how often results land on each whole number.
A half point matters when the final score lands on the whole number next to it. This tool uses your estimates for those results to compare fair odds on nearby spreads or totals.

Formula: Remove the baseline margin: p = (1 ÷ d₁) ÷ [(1 ÷ d₁) + (1 ÷ d₂)]. At a whole-number baseline: win chance = p × (1 − q). Moving half a point shifts the chance at the affected number between a win, push, and loss. Fair decimal odds = (1 − push chance) ÷ win chance.
Example: Start at -3 with -110 on both sides and an 8% chance of winning by exactly 3. At -3, the model gives a 46% win chance, 46% loss chance, and 8% push chance. At -2.5, the push becomes a win: 54% win chance and about -117 fair odds. At -3.5, the push becomes a loss: 46% win chance and about +117 fair odds.
Assumptions, limitations, and usage: https://www.outlier.bet/betting-calculators/half-point/

### Point Spread Calculator
- [Point Spread Calculator](https://www.outlier.bet/betting-calculators/point-spread/): Estimate a team’s win chance and moneyline from its spread. Adjust the model to test your assumptions.
This tool estimates a team’s chance of winning outright from its point spread. It uses a normal, or bell-curve, model of scoring margins. You can change how widely those margins are expected to vary.

Formula: Expected scoring margin μ = −spread. Model win chance = Φ(μ ÷ σ). Fair decimal odds = 1 ÷ model win chance.
Example: Enter a -3 spread and a standard deviation of 13.5 points. The expected margin is 3 points. Divide 3 by 13.5 to get about 0.2222. The normal model turns that value into a 58.79% win chance. Fair moneylines are about -143 for the selected team and +143 for its opponent.
Assumptions, limitations, and usage: https://www.outlier.bet/betting-calculators/point-spread/

### Poisson Calculator
- [Poisson Calculator](https://www.outlier.bet/betting-calculators/poisson/): Enter an expected average count to estimate exact-count and over/under chances.
The Poisson model estimates how often a count, such as the number of goals, will occur. Enter the expected average count for a set period to see exact-count and over/under chances.

Formula: Chance of exactly k events: P(X = k) = e^(−λ) × λᵏ ÷ k!. Chance of at most k events: add the exact-count chances from 0 through k. Chance of at least k events: 1 − chance of at most (k − 1) events. Fair decimal odds with pushes = (1 − push chance) ÷ win chance.
Example: Set the expected average count to 2.5. The chance of exactly 3 events is about 21.38%. The chance of at least 3 is 45.62%. The chance of at most 3 is 75.76%. Over 2.5 needs at least 3 events, so its win chance is also 45.62%.
Assumptions, limitations, and usage: https://www.outlier.bet/betting-calculators/poisson/

## Hub

- [Sports Betting Strategy Tips](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/): Improve your strategy, and then hop into Outlier's sports betting platform to make smarter picks.

## Sections

- [Betting Intelligence](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/betting-intelligence/): Boost your edge with Outlier’s Betting Intelligence—data-driven strategies, expert insights, and tools for smarter sports betting. Read more.
- [College Basketball Betting](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/college-basketball-betting/): Bet smarter on college basketball with the help of Outlier’s expert strategies, insightful data, and tools designed to keep you ahead of the game.
- [College Football Betting](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/college-football-betting/): Catch up on the latest strategies and insights for NCAA Football betting.
- [MLB Betting](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/mlb-betting/): Catch up on the latest insights for MLB player props and baseball betting strategy.
- [NBA Betting](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/nba-betting/): Your guide to making smarter sports bets across NBA games and player props.
- [NFL Betting](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/nfl-player-prop-strategy-betting-tips/): Get ready to bet with confidence this football season! We've got you covered with tips on NFL player props, spreads, moneylines, and strategies for futures.
- [NHL Betting](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/nhl-betting/): Catch up on the latest strategies and insights for NHL betting.
- [Positive EV Betting](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/positive-ev-betting/): Unlock the secrets of a Positive EV Betting Strategy and watch your bankroll flourish! Dive into our guides and tips on how to make the most of tools like Outlier.
- [What's New at Outlier](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/company-news/): Check here for all the latest news about Outlier and our team.

## Articles

- [4 Tips For Winning MLB Season Win Total Futures (MLB Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/mlb-betting/4-tips-for-winning-mlb-season-win-total-futures/): MLB Regular season win totals are among the most popular futures to bet on. Follow these guidelines to put yourself in the best position to succeed.
- [4 Tips To Help You Win With The NFL MVP Prop (NFL Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/nfl-player-prop-strategy-betting-tips/4-tips-to-help-you-win-with-the-nfl-mvp-prop/)
- [4 Winning Tips for MLB Run Line Betting. (MLB Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/mlb-betting/mlb-run-line-betting-use-4-winning-tips/): Baseball's version of the point spread – run line betting – is a different challenge than dealing with the moneyline. How should bettors approach it?
- [5 Tips to Win More Same Game Parlays (Betting Intelligence)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/betting-intelligence/5-tips-to-win-more-same-game-parlays/): Same game parlays are a popular bet these days but bettors should tread carefully with them. Here's how to get the most value out of them.
- [6 Biggest March Madness Mistakes People Make Betting On First Round (College Basketball Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/college-basketball-betting/6-biggest-march-madness-mistakes-people-make-betting-on-first-round/)
- [7 Sports Betting Tools That Will Help You Win (Betting Intelligence)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/betting-intelligence/sports-betting-tools/): Betting is a game of numbers, which uses probability to narrow down to an outcome. As technology improve and bookmakers increase gambling latitude, bettors can use arbitrage betting to ascertain their bets. Bet arbing allows the online bettor to recoup their stakes irrespective of the outcome of the bet.
- [8 Ways to Win with Running Back Props (NFL Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/nfl-player-prop-strategy-betting-tips/how-to-win-with-running-back-props/)
- [A Blueprint For A Winning NFL Preseason Betting Strategy (NFL Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/nfl-player-prop-strategy-betting-tips/a-blueprint-for-a-winning-nfl-preseason-betting-strategy/)
- [Betting College Football Running Back Player Props (College Football Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/college-football-betting/the-strategy-of-betting-college-football-running-back-player-props/)
- [Betting College Football Tight End Player Props (College Football Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/college-football-betting/betting-college-football-tight-end-player-props/)
- [Can You Arbitrage Live Betting? (Betting Intelligence)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/betting-intelligence/can-you-arbitrage-live-betting/): Live betting is one of the most popular ways of betting on sports these days. Are there arbitrage opportunities with live lines, though? We're taking a closer look.
- [Explaining How Outlier Gets The Public Betting Percentages (Betting Intelligence)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/betting-intelligence/explaining-how-outlier-gets-the-public-betting-percentages/)
- [Finding March Madness Value Bets In The First Round (College Basketball Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/college-basketball-betting/march-madness-value-bets-in-the-first-round/): Betting is a game of numbers, which uses probability to narrow down to an outcome. As technology improve and bookmakers increase gambling latitude, bettors can use arbitrage betting to ascertain their bets. Bet arbing allows the online bettor to recoup their stakes irrespective of the outcome of the bet.
- [Finding Value With NFL Touchdown Props (NFL Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/nfl-player-prop-strategy-betting-tips/finding-value-with-player-touchdown-props/)
- [How Big Of An Edge Is NBA Home-Court Advantage (NBA Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/nba-betting/how-big-of-an-edge-is-nba-home-court-advantage/)
- [How Do Sharp Sports Bettors Decide Their Picks (Betting Intelligence)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/betting-intelligence/how-sharp-sports-bettors-make-picks/): Successful professional sports bettors stick to a strict regiment that helps them win. We're taking a look at their traits and characteristics, so that others can try and emulate them.
- [How MLB Umpires Impact Baseball Betting Strategy & Where To Track Them (MLB Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/mlb-betting/how-mlb-umpires-impact-baseball-betting-strategy-where-to-track-them/): It's clear that MLB umpires have a significant impact on baseball betting. Are there trends that bettors can follow and profit from?
- [How Sportsbook Bonuses Can Grow Your Bankroll (Betting Intelligence)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/betting-intelligence/sportsbook-bonuses-boost-your-bankroll/): Betting is a game of numbers, which uses probability to narrow down to an outcome. As technology improve and bookmakers increase gambling latitude, bettors can use arbitrage betting to ascertain their bets. Bet arbing allows the online bettor to recoup their stakes irrespective of the outcome of the bet.
- [How To Bet On NHL Center Player Props (NHL Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/nhl-betting/how-to-bet-on-nhl-center-player-props/)
- [How To Find Success Live Betting Player Props (Betting Intelligence)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/betting-intelligence/live-betting-player-props/): Live betting has expanded to player props but is there value with these options? If you study the market and the game closely enough, there can be money to be made.
- [How To Find Value With March Madness Cinderellas That Can Go Deep Into The NCAA Tournament (College Basketball Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/college-basketball-betting/value-with-march-madness-cinderellas/): Is there an art to picking underdogs that can go deep into the NCAA Tournament? We're taking a look at the signs of a team that can make a run.
- [How To Find Value With The First Touchdown Scorer Prop (NFL Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/nfl-player-prop-strategy-betting-tips/how-to-find-value-with-the-first-touchdown-scorer-prop/)
- [How To Handicap First Quarter Bets (NFL Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/nfl-player-prop-strategy-betting-tips/how-to-handicap-first-quarter-bets/)
- [How To Handle Load Management & Injury News When Betting NBA (NBA Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/nba-betting/how-to-handle-load-management-injury-news-when-betting-nba/): Betting is a game of numbers, which uses probability to narrow down to an outcome. As technology improve and bookmakers increase gambling latitude, bettors can use arbitrage betting to ascertain their bets. Bet arbing allows the online bettor to recoup their stakes irrespective of the outcome of the bet.
- [How To Have Success Betting Player Props (Betting Intelligence)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/betting-intelligence/betting-player-props/): Betting is a game of numbers, which uses probability to narrow down to an outcome. As technology improve and bookmakers increase gambling latitude, bettors can use arbitrage betting to ascertain their bets. Bet arbing allows the online bettor to recoup their stakes irrespective of the outcome of the bet.
- [How To Identify College Basketball Mismatches (College Basketball Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/college-basketball-betting/how-to-identify-college-basketball-mismatches/)
- [How To Improve Your Chances Of Winning An NBA Same Game Parlay (NBA Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/nba-betting/winning-nba-same-game-parlay-bets/): Betting is a game of numbers, which uses probability to narrow down to an outcome. As technology improve and bookmakers increase gambling latitude, bettors can use arbitrage betting to ascertain their bets. Bet arbing allows the online bettor to recoup their stakes irrespective of the outcome of the bet.
- [How To Level Up Your Line Shopping (Betting Intelligence)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/betting-intelligence/how-to-level-up-your-line-shopping/): Betting is a game of numbers, which uses probability to narrow down to an outcome. As technology improve and bookmakers increase gambling latitude, bettors can use arbitrage betting to ascertain their bets. Bet arbing allows the online bettor to recoup their stakes irrespective of the outcome of the bet.
- [How To Profit Betting NFL Regular Season Win Totals (NFL Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/nfl-player-prop-strategy-betting-tips/how-to-profit-betting-nfl-regular-season-win-totals/)
- [How To Profit Off Of The Total Bases Prop (MLB Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/mlb-betting/how-to-profit-off-of-the-total-bases-prop/): Looking to handicap the total bases prop? We've got all of the info you need to succeed with this popular baseball bet.
- [How To Stack Sportsbook Promotions (Betting Intelligence)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/betting-intelligence/how-to-stack-sportsbook-promotions/): Online sportsbooks are very generous with their promotions these days. Here's how to stack the bonuses to get the most out of them.
- [How To Zero In On A March Madness Winner In The Preseason (College Basketball Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/college-basketball-betting/how-to-zero-in-on-a-march-madness-winner-in-the-preseason/)
- [How Weather Impacts Football Betting (College Football Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/college-football-betting/how-weather-impacts-football-betting/)
- [How to Bet College Football Quarterback Props (College Football Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/college-football-betting/how-to-bet-college-football-quarterback-props/)
- [Keys To Betting On NBA Point Guard Props (NBA Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/nba-betting/keys-to-betting-on-nba-point-guard-props/)
- [Know The House Rules Of Player Props (When Is It Action, Voided) (Betting Intelligence)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/betting-intelligence/house-rules-for-player-props/): Betting is a game of numbers, which uses probability to narrow down to an outcome. As technology improve and bookmakers increase gambling latitude, bettors can use arbitrage betting to ascertain their bets. Bet arbing allows the online bettor to recoup their stakes irrespective of the outcome of the bet.
- [Line Movement: A Definitive Guide for Your 2026 Sports Betting Strategy (Betting Intelligence)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/betting-intelligence/line-movement-a-definitive-guide-for-your-2026-sports-betting-strategy/): Betting is a game of numbers, which uses probability to narrow down to an outcome. As technology improve and bookmakers increase gambling latitude, bettors can use arbitrage betting to ascertain their bets. Bet arbing allows the online bettor to recoup their stakes irrespective of the outcome of the bet.
- [Live Betting College Basketball: 5 Tips To Grow Your Bankroll (College Basketball Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/college-basketball-betting/live-betting-college-basketball/): Betting is a game of numbers, which uses probability to narrow down to an outcome. As technology improve and bookmakers increase gambling latitude, bettors can use arbitrage betting to ascertain their bets. Bet arbing allows the online bettor to recoup their stakes irrespective of the outcome of the bet.
- [Middle Betting: Finding Those Sweet Spot Sports Betting Opportunities (Positive EV Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/positive-ev-betting/middle-betting-finding-those-sweet-spot-sports-betting-opportunities/): Middling is a next-level sports betting strategy that – when done right – can pay off handsomely. How do bettors find that sweet spot, though?
- [NBA Player Prop Insights for December 30th (NBA Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/nba-betting/nba-player-prop-insights-for-december-30th/)
- [NBA Player Props: 5 Ways to Find Value (NBA Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/nba-betting/how-to-find-value-with-nba-player-props/): Betting is a game of numbers, which uses probability to narrow down to an outcome. As technology improve and bookmakers increase gambling latitude, bettors can use arbitrage betting to ascertain their bets. Bet arbing allows the online bettor to recoup their stakes irrespective of the outcome of the bet.
- [Outlier Acquires SportsCapital’s Data Assets and Launches Real Time Incident Reporting Across Major U.S. Sports (What's New at Outlier)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/company-news/outlier-acquires-sportscapital-data-assets-launches-real-time-incident-reporting/): New real-time incident reporting captures on-court and on-field injuries across the NBA, NCAAB, NFL, and NCAAF.
- [Outlier Launches React Live, the First Real-Time Intelligence App for Live Sports Betting (What's New at Outlier)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/company-news/outlier-launches-react-live/)
- [Part 1: Introduction to Positive EV Betting (Positive EV Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/positive-ev-betting/part-1-introduction-to-positive-ev-betting/): Welcome to Outlier's Definitive Guide for Positive EV Betting! In the realm of sports betting, the concept of Expected Value (+EV) stands out as a cornerstone for long-term success. Positive EV betting involves identifying and placing wagers that, over time, are expected to yield a profit. This guide delves into the basics of EV, the significance of positive EV betting, and practical strategies to leverage this concept for profitable sports betting.
- [Passing Props: Is There Value With Attempts Versus Completions? (NFL Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/nfl-player-prop-strategy-betting-tips/passing-props-attempts-versus-completions/)
- [Positive EV Betting: What Is It, How It Works, & 7 Proven Strategies (Positive EV Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/positive-ev-betting/what-is-positive-ev-betting/): Positive EV betting is a data-based strategy that looks for bets where your estimated odds are better than the sportsbook’s. By spotting these value bets, you gain a long-term edge and increase your chances of consistent profits.
- [Positive EV Certification Course (Positive EV Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/positive-ev-betting/positive-ev-quiz/)
- [Spread Betting: Building A Winning Strategy With One Of The Most Basic Bet Types (Betting Intelligence)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/betting-intelligence/spread-betting-building-a-winning-strategy-with-one-of-the-most-basic-bet-types/): Betting is a game of numbers, which uses probability to narrow down to an outcome. As technology improve and bookmakers increase gambling latitude, bettors can use arbitrage betting to ascertain their bets. Bet arbing allows the online bettor to recoup their stakes irrespective of the outcome of the bet.
- [Start Here For A Bankroll Management Plan And Stick To It (Betting Intelligence)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/betting-intelligence/bankroll-management/): Bankroll management is laying the foundation of success in sports betting. If you haven't thought it through before, we're here to help.
- [The Advanced College Basketball Rating Metrics That Can Help You Win (College Basketball Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/college-basketball-betting/advanced-college-basketball-rating-metrics-that-can-help-you-win/): There are a number of rating systems that help college basketball bettors make sports betting decisions. Which are the best ones to rely on?
- [The Biggest Hedging Mistakes Bettors Make (Betting Intelligence)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/betting-intelligence/biggest-hedging-mistakes/): Betting is a game of numbers, which uses probability to narrow down to an outcome. As technology improve and bookmakers increase gambling latitude, bettors can use arbitrage betting to ascertain their bets. Bet arbing allows the online bettor to recoup their stakes irrespective of the outcome of the bet.
- [The Different Types Of Sports Betting Site Bonuses You’ll Encounter (Betting Intelligence)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/betting-intelligence/the-different-types-of-sports-betting-site-bonuses-you-ll-encounter/): There are all sorts of betting site bonuses available these days. We'll run you through all of the promos and explain how to get the most out of them.
- [The Pros & Cons Of Futures Bets (Betting Intelligence)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/betting-intelligence/the-pros-cons-of-futures-bets/): Futures bets have their pros and cons, but used correctly, they can be a helpful way to hedge some risk.
- [The Risk Of In-Game Player Prop Bets (Betting Intelligence)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/betting-intelligence/the-risk-of-in-game-player-prop-bets/): In-game player prop bets are growing in popularity. How risky are they? We're taking a look at the strategy of live betting these props.
- [The Strategy Behind First Five Inning Betting (MLB Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/mlb-betting/the-strategy-behind-first-five-inning-betting/): First five inning betting is the baseball version of betting the first half. What strategy should bettors keep in mind when placing this type of bet? And
- [The Strategy Of Betting College Football First Half Props (College Football Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/college-football-betting/the-strategy-of-betting-college-football-first-half-props/)
- [Tools for Researching College Basketball Bets (College Basketball Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/college-basketball-betting/tools-for-researching-college-basketball-bets/)
- [Ultimate Guide to Positive EV Betting NBA Games in 2025 (Positive EV Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/positive-ev-betting/ultimate-guide-to-positive-ev-betting-nba-games-in-2025/): Ready to dominate the NBA betting scene? In this guide, we’ll dive into the world of positive EV betting in the NBA, uncovering strategies to find edges in betting lines and maximize your profits. Let’s harness the power of positive EV betting NBA to boost your sports betting game!
- [Understanding Closing Line Value: Your Key to Sports Betting Success (Positive EV Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/positive-ev-betting/understanding-closing-line-value-sports-betting/): Want to become a sharper sports bettor? Understanding Closing Line Value (CLV) is the key to long-term success. Learn what CLV is, why beating the closing line matters, and explore effective strategies to enhance your sports betting profits.
- [Understanding Public Betting Percentages and Using Trends to Your Advantage (Betting Intelligence)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/betting-intelligence/understanding-public-betting-percentages/): Betting is a game of numbers, which uses probability to narrow down to an outcome. As technology improve and bookmakers increase gambling latitude, bettors can use arbitrage betting to ascertain their bets. Bet arbing allows the online bettor to recoup their stakes irrespective of the outcome of the bet.
- [Understanding and Finding Positive Expected Value Wagers: A Step By Step Guide (Betting Intelligence)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/betting-intelligence/finding-expected-value-wagers/): Betting is a game of numbers, which uses probability to narrow down to an outcome. As technology improve and bookmakers increase gambling latitude, bettors can use arbitrage betting to ascertain their bets. Bet arbing allows the online bettor to recoup their stakes irrespective of the outcome of the bet.
- [What To Look For When Betting NFL Division Futures (NFL Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/nfl-player-prop-strategy-betting-tips/what-to-look-for-when-betting-nfl-division-futures/)
- [What is a Vig? A Must Know Concept to Beat the Books! (Positive EV Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/positive-ev-betting/what-is-a-vig-a-must-know-concept-to-beat-the-books/): If you want to be a profitable sports bettor, understanding the vig (also called the juice, tax, hold, etc) is non-negotiable. We breaks down what the vig is, how sportsbooks use it to make money, and—most importantly—how it affects your bottom line as a bettor.
- [What’s The Difference Between Betting Exchanges Versus Sportsbooks? (Betting Intelligence)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/betting-intelligence/difference-between-betting-exchanges-versus-sportsbooks/): Sportsbooks and exchanges operate quite differently. We're taking a look at the pros and cons of each to determine which is the most useful and when to use choose one over the other.
- [When To Incorporate Parlay Bets Into Your Betting Strategy (Betting Intelligence)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/betting-intelligence/when-to-incorporate-parlay-bets-into-your-betting-strategy/): Parlay bets are often viewed as risky, bad decisions. Is there a time when these types of wagers makes sense for bettors, though?
- [Which Bankroll Management System Is Right For You? (Betting Intelligence)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/betting-intelligence/which-bankroll-management-system-is-right-for-you/): Betting is a game of numbers, which uses probability to narrow down to an outcome. As technology improve and bookmakers increase gambling latitude, bettors can use arbitrage betting to ascertain their bets. Bet arbing allows the online bettor to recoup their stakes irrespective of the outcome of the bet.
- [Which Stats Best Help You Cash In With Wide Receiver Props (NFL Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/nfl-player-prop-strategy-betting-tips/stats-best-wide-receiver-props/)
- [Why Sportsbooks Limit Your Bets (And How to Avoid It) (Positive EV Betting)](https://www.outlier.bet/sports-betting-strategy/positive-ev-betting/why-sportsbooks-limit-your-bets/): Discover why sportsbooks limit your bets and learn effective strategies to avoid restrictions. Stay ahead in your betting game!

## Blog

- [Blog](https://www.outlier.bet/blog/): The latest sports news, team previews, analysis, and research from Outlier.
- [Wemby, SGA or Jokic? Ranking the NBA’s Best for 2026-27 (NBA · 2026 · Team Previews)](https://www.outlier.bet/blog/NBA/NBA/Team-previews/top-10-nba-players-entering-2026-27/): Jackson Frank's top 10 NBA players entering 2026-27, in order: Victor Wembanyama, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Nikola Jokić, Luka Dončić, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Jayson Tatum, Stephen Curry, Jalen Brunson, Kawhi Leonard and Anthony Edwards.
- [7 Bold Predictions for the 2026-27 NBA Season: Surprise Stars, Trades and Playoff Shakeups (NBA · 2026 · Team Previews)](https://www.outlier.bet/blog/NBA/NBA/Team-previews/7-bold-predictions-2026-27-nba-season/): Jackson Frank's seven predictions for 2026-27: Boston earns the East's No. 1 seed; Houston trades Reed Sheppard; Memphis makes the playoffs; Austin Reaves makes All-NBA; Miami finishes in the Play-In; Isaiah Joe averages at least 15 points; and Zach Edey becomes an All-Star.
- [2026-27 NBA Power Rankings: All 30 Teams Ranked Before Tipoff (NBA · 2026 · Team Previews)](https://www.outlier.bet/blog/NBA/NBA/Team-previews/2026-27-nba-preseason-grades/): Jackson Frank’s 2026-27 NBA preseason power rankings put Oklahoma City, San Antonio and New York at the top. He predicts the Thunder and Celtics will earn their conferences’ No. 1 seeds. Rankings reflect title likelihood, while seeding predictions reflect regular-season outlooks.
- [Can Wemby Win MVP and DPOY? Our 2026–27 NBA Award Predictions (NBA · 2026 · Team Previews)](https://www.outlier.bet/blog/NBA/NBA/Team-previews/2026-27-nba-award-predictions/): Jackson Frank picks Victor Wembanyama for MVP and Defensive Player of the Year, Cameron Boozer for Rookie of the Year, Ty Jerome for Most Improved Player, Dylan Harper for Sixth Man and Charles Lee for Coach of the Year.
- [NBA Biggest Surprises And Disappointments for This Season (NBA · 2026 · Team Previews)](https://www.outlier.bet/blog/NBA/NBA/Team-previews/2026-27-nba-preseason-superlatives/): The picks include the Pacers and Rockets as surprise teams, the Nuggets as the most disappointing team, Ja’Kobe Walter as breakout player, and the Raptors and Suns for best and worst offseason.
- [Jalen Hurts Has to Be the Answer for the Eagles Again (NFL · 2026 · Team Previews)](https://www.outlier.bet/blog/nfl/2026/team-previews/philadelphia-eagles-2026-season-preview/): The Philadelphia Eagles enter 2026 after a Wild Card exit with Sean Mannion taking over as offensive coordinator, major turnover on defense and Jalen Hurts again central to the team’s ceiling. The preview projects an 11-6 record and NFC East title, but another first-round playoff exit.
- [Geno Smith’s Return May be a Bridge In New York’s Rebuilding Plan (NFL · 2026 · Team Previews)](https://www.outlier.bet/blog/nfl/2026/team-previews/new-york-jets-2026-season-preview/): The New York Jets enter 2026 after a 3-14 season with Aaron Glenn in year two, Geno Smith back at quarterback and three first-round picks reshaping the roster. The rebuild hinges on defensive improvement, Breece Hall carrying the offense and whether the young core can create real progress.
- [Jaxson Dart and Abdul Carter Provide a Foundation for the Giants’ Future (NFL · 2026 · Team Previews)](https://www.outlier.bet/blog/nfl/2026/team-previews/new-york-giants-2026-season-preview/): The New York Giants enter 2026 with John Harbaugh taking over as head coach and Jaxson Dart positioned as the potential franchise quarterback. The team’s ceiling depends heavily on the health of Malik Nabers and Cam Skattebo and the development of young core players such as Abdul Carter.
- [Can Kyler Murray Save the Vikings? (NFL · 2026 · Team Previews)](https://www.outlier.bet/blog/nfl/2026/team-previews/minnesota-vikings-2026-season-preview/): The Minnesota Vikings enter 2026 after a 9-8 season with Kyler Murray opening as the starting quarterback and J.J. McCarthy waiting behind him. Brian Flores’ defense returns much of the group that finished seventh in points allowed, while the offense must find stability at quarterback and along the offensive line.
- [Rams 2026 Preview: Myles Garrett Headlines L.A.’s Bid for the Super Bowl (NFL · 2026 · Team Previews)](https://www.outlier.bet/blog/nfl/2026/team-previews/los-angeles-rams-2026-season-preview/): The Los Angeles Rams enter 2026 all-in on a Super Bowl run after adding Myles Garrett and Trent McDuffie, while Aaron Donald returns from retirement. With Matthew Stafford, Puka Nacua and Sean McVay already in place, the preview projects L.A. as the NFC’s top contender.
- [Everything Hinges on a Healthy Daniel Jones (NFL · 2026 · Team Previews)](https://www.outlier.bet/blog/nfl/2026/team-previews/indianapolis-colts-2026-season-preview/): The Indianapolis Colts enter 2026 with their outlook centered on Daniel Jones’ recovery from an Achilles tear. Jonathan Taylor, Sauce Gardner and Alec Pierce give Indy proven talent, but the team’s ability to rebound depends heavily on whether Jones is truly healthy.
- [The Defense is Back to Dominate. Will the Offense Follow? (NFL · 2026 · Team Previews)](https://www.outlier.bet/blog/nfl/2026/team-previews/houston-texans-2026-season-preview/): The Houston Texans enter 2026 with a defense capable of carrying them to the Super Bowl, but their ceiling depends on whether a rebuilt offensive line can protect C.J. Stroud and help the offense become more reliable.
- [A Healthy Joe Burrow Change Everything (NFL · 2026 · Team Previews)](https://www.outlier.bet/blog/nfl/2026/team-previews/cincinnati-bengals-2026-season-preview/): The Cincinnati Bengals enter 2026 trying to solve the same two issues that derailed 2025: Joe Burrow’s health and a struggling defense. Cincinnati reshaped its defensive front around Dexter Lawrence while betting that a healthy Burrow can put the team back in playoff contention.
- [A Quarterback Dilemma That May Haunt Atlanta (NFL · 2026 · Team Previews)](https://www.outlier.bet/blog/nfl/2026/team-previews/atlanta-falcons-2026-season-preview/): The Atlanta Falcons enter 2026 under new head coach Kevin Stefanski and general manager Ian Cunningham with major uncertainty at quarterback. Michael Penix Jr. and Tua Tagovailoa are at the center of an offense that will need stability to complement Atlanta’s defense and running game.
- [Arizona's Rebuild Starts With Trey McBride and a QB Battle (NFL · 2026 · Team Previews)](https://www.outlier.bet/blog/nfl/2026/team-previews/arizona-cardinals-2026-season-preview/): Arizona enters 2026 after a 3-14 season with Mike LaFleur taking over as head coach, Kyler Murray gone, and no starting quarterback named. Trey McBride and Marvin Harrison Jr. are the offense’s biggest established weapons as the Cardinals begin another rebuild.
- [Can Joe Brady's Bills Finally Get Josh Allen a Ring? (NFL · 2026 · Team Previews)](https://www.outlier.bet/blog/nfl/2026/team-previews/buffalo-bills-2026-season-preview/): The Buffalo Bills enter 2026 with Joe Brady taking over for Sean McDermott, Josh Allen still at the center of the offense, and DJ Moore added as a new No. 1 receiver. The expectations remain Super Bowl-level, but questions about the supporting cast and defensive transition remain.
- [The Ravens Are Once Again a Trendy Super Bowl Pick (NFL · 2026 · Team Previews)](https://www.outlier.bet/blog/nfl/2026/team-previews/baltimore-ravens-2026-season-preview/): Baltimore enters 2026 with Jesse Minter replacing John Harbaugh, Lamar Jackson still leading the offense, and Trey Hendrickson joining a defense expected to improve. The preview projects the Ravens to rebound to 12-5 and win the AFC North.
- [Jaylen Waddle Makes Denver More Dangerous (NFL · 2026 · Team Previews)](https://www.outlier.bet/blog/nfl/2026/team-previews/denver-broncos-2026-season-preview/): The Denver Broncos enter 2026 with unfinished business after a 14-3 season ended in the AFC Championship Game. A healthy Bo Nix, the addition of Jaylen Waddle and the return of a strong defensive core give Denver another path toward Super Bowl contention.
- [Can Caleb Williams Lead the Bears on a Super Bowl Run? (NFL · 2026 · Team Previews)](https://www.outlier.bet/blog/nfl/2026/team-previews/chicago-bears-2026-season-preview/): The Chicago Bears enter 2026 after an 11-6 NFC North championship season in Ben Johnson’s first year, with Caleb Williams continuing to develop into the franchise centerpiece. The preview projects a 10-7 finish but sees defensive turnover and a difficult schedule keeping Chicago out of the playoffs.
- [Can Bryce Young’s Improvement Continue? (NFL · 2026 · Team Previews)](https://www.outlier.bet/blog/nfl/2026/team-previews/carolina-panthers-2026-season-preview/): The Carolina Panthers enter 2026 after winning the NFC South at 8-9 behind improved play from Bryce Young and a breakout rookie season from Tetairoa McMillan. The preview questions whether Carolina’s progress is sustainable and predicts a step back to 6-11.
- [Cousins Is the Bridge, Fernando Mendoza Is the Future (NFL · 2026 · Team Previews)](https://www.outlier.bet/blog/nfl/2026/team-previews/las-vegas-raiders-2026-season-preview/): The Las Vegas Raiders enter 2026 in a large-scale rebuild under new head coach Klint Kubiak. Kirk Cousins opens as the starting quarterback while No. 1 pick Fernando Mendoza waits for his opportunity, with the preview projecting Mendoza to take over before midseason.
- [Is Tyler Shough the Real Deal or a Mirage? (NFL · 2026 · Team Previews)](https://www.outlier.bet/blog/nfl/2026/team-previews/new-orleans-saints-2026-season-preview/): The New Orleans Saints enter 2026 with Tyler Shough established as their starting quarterback after a strong finish to his rookie season. Kellen Moore’s team is building around Shough while trying to turn late-2025 momentum into meaningful improvement.
- [The Dolphins Are In Full Rebuild Mode (NFL · 2026 · Team Previews)](https://www.outlier.bet/blog/nfl/2026/team-previews/miami-dolphins-2026-season-preview/): The Miami Dolphins enter 2026 in a full rebuild under first-time head coach Jeff Hafley and general manager Jon-Eric Sullivan. Malik Willis takes over at quarterback after major departures across the offense and defense, and the preview predicts a 3-14 finish focused more on evaluation than contention.
- [The Steelers Are Betting It All on Aaron Rodgers’ Last Ride (NFL · 2026 · Team Previews)](https://www.outlier.bet/blog/nfl/2026/team-previews/pittsburgh-steelers-2026-season-preview/): The Pittsburgh Steelers enter 2026 with Mike McCarthy replacing Mike Tomlin and Aaron Rodgers returning for what is expected to be his final season. The preview projects a 7-10 finish, with offensive line play and secondary performance shaping Pittsburgh’s ceiling.
- [Can the Champs Repeat With a Retooled Defense? (NFL · 2026 · Team Previews)](https://www.outlier.bet/blog/nfl/2026/team-previews/seattle-seahawks-2026-season-preview/): The Seattle Seahawks enter 2026 as defending Super Bowl champions with Sam Darnold and Jaxon Smith-Njigba back, but major losses on defense and in the backfield complicate the repeat bid. The preview predicts an 11-6 record and another NFC Championship appearance.
- [Is Cam Ward Ready For the Year 2 Leap? (NFL · 2026 · Team Previews)](https://www.outlier.bet/blog/nfl/2026/team-previews/tennessee-titans-2026-season-preview/): The Tennessee Titans enter 2026 with Robert Saleh as head coach and Brian Daboll overseeing the offense, with the rebuild centered on giving second-year quarterback Cam Ward a stronger structure and supporting cast. The preview predicts improvement to 7-10.
- [Commanders Season is All About Jayden Daniels Staying Healthy (NFL · 2026 · Team Previews)](https://www.outlier.bet/blog/nfl/2026/team-previews/washington-commanders-2026-season-preview/): The Washington Commanders enter 2026 trying to rebound from a 5-12 season after overhauling parts of the roster and coaching staff. The preview makes Jayden Daniels’ health the central factor and predicts Washington will finish 7-10 and miss the playoffs.
- [It's a Make or Break Season For the Packers (NFL · 2026 · Team Previews)](https://www.outlier.bet/blog/nfl/2026/team-previews/green-bay-packers-2026-season-preview/): The Green Bay Packers enter 2026 with Jordan Love and Micah Parsons returning from injury, but health remains the central question. The preview projects Green Bay to finish 10-7 and narrowly miss the playoffs despite a defense anchored by Parsons.
- [It's a New Era In Cleveland Without Myles Garrett (NFL · 2026 · Team Previews)](https://www.outlier.bet/blog/nfl/2026/team-previews/cleveland-browns-2026-season-preview/): The Cleveland Browns enter 2026 with Todd Monken as head coach, Myles Garrett gone and major uncertainty at quarterback. The preview expects Cleveland to remain in last place at 6-11 while younger players such as Denzel Boston, Quinshon Judkins and Mason Graham take on larger roles.
- [Can a Rebuilt Defense Get Dallas Back to the Playoffs? (NFL · 2026 · Team Previews)](https://www.outlier.bet/blog/nfl/2026/team-previews/dallas-cowboys-2026-season-preview/): The Dallas Cowboys enter 2026 after consecutive losing seasons with a significantly reworked defense. A new defensive coordinator, Rashan Gary, Caleb Downs and other additions are expected to support an offense led by Dak Prescott as Dallas pushes to return to the playoffs.
- [Can Jacksonville Prove Last Year Wasn't a Fluke? (NFL · 2026 · Team Previews)](https://www.outlier.bet/blog/nfl/2026/team-previews/jacksonville-jaguars-2026-season-preview/): The Jacksonville Jaguars enter 2026 after a 13-4 AFC South championship season. Their ability to sustain that success depends on Trevor Lawrence maintaining his late-2025 form, Travis Hunter returning healthy, and the team handling expected turnover regression and a tougher schedule.
- [Is this the Year San Francisco's Injury Luck Turns? (NFL · 2026 · Team Previews)](https://www.outlier.bet/blog/nfl/2026/team-previews/san-francisco-49ers-2026-season-preview/): The San Francisco 49ers enter 2026 with Brock Purdy signed long-term, Mike Evans added to an already talented offense, and another chance to contend if their stars stay healthy. The preview predicts an 11-6 record, a Wild Card berth, and another playoff victory.
- [Can Mike McDaniel Finally Unlock Justin Herbert (NFL · 2026 · Team Previews)](https://www.outlier.bet/blog/nfl/2026/team-previews/los-angeles-chargers-2026-season-preview/): The Los Angeles Chargers enter 2026 trying to turn regular-season success into a deep playoff run. The preview centers on Mike McDaniel unlocking Justin Herbert, improved offensive-line health, and a larger role for Omarion Hampton, with a 12-5 record and AFC title predicted.
- [Lions Are Primed For a Bounce Back Season (NFL · 2026 · Team Previews)](https://www.outlier.bet/blog/nfl/2026/team-previews/detroit-lions-2026-season-preview/): The Detroit Lions are positioned for a 2026 bounce back behind a larger Jahmyr Gibbs workload, better health from key players including Aidan Hutchinson and Sam LaPorta, and a favorable schedule. The preview predicts an 11-6 record and an NFC North title.
- [Patriots Are Betting On AJ Brown (NFL · 2026 · Team Previews)](https://www.outlier.bet/blog/nfl/2026/team-previews/new-england-patriots-2026-season-preview/): The New England Patriots enter 2026 as defending AFC East champions after a Super Bowl appearance, with A.J. Brown added to support Drake Maye. The preview projects New England to finish 11-6, win the division again, and reach the divisional round.
- [Can Tampa Bay Reclaim the NFC South Without Mike Evans? (NFL · 2026 · Team Previews)](https://www.outlier.bet/blog/nfl/2026/team-previews/tampa-bay-buccaneers-2026-season-preview/): With the Mike Evans era over, the Buccaneers are counting on a healthy Baker Mayfield and a breakout season from Emeka Egbuka to reclaim the NFC South.

## Optional

- [Curated llms.txt](https://www.outlier.bet/llms.txt)
- [XML sitemap](https://www.outlier.bet/sitemap.xml)